Assessment of Sea Surface Salinity Products Using a Coupled ENSO Prediction Model

[摘要] We assess the impact of satellite sea surface salinity (SSS) observations on seasonal to interannual variability of tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean dynamics as well as on dynamical ENSO forecasts. Twelve-month forecasts are initialized for each month from September 2011 to September 2017. All experiments assimilate satellite sea level (SL), sea surface temperature (SST), and in situ subsurface temperature and salinity observations (T(sub z), S(sub z)). Additionally various satellite, blended, and in-situ SSS products are assimilated. Using our intermediate-complexity coupled model as a transfer function, we test if more mature SSS model algorithms actually improve ENSO forecast skill. We find that including satellite SSS significantly improves Niño3.4 sea surface temperature anomaly validation, more mature SSS model algorithms are generally improving ENSO forecasts over time, and more satellite SSS helps to extend useful forecasts.

[发布日期] 2018-11-08

[学科分类] 大气科学

[关键词] ANNUAL VARIATIONS;FORECASTING;OCEAN SURFACE;PACIFIC OCEAN;SALINITY;TROPICAL REGIONS;EL NINO;MATHEMATICAL MODELS;SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE;SOUTHERN OSCILLATION