Impact of Solar Activity on Snow Cover Variation Over the Tibetan Plateau and Linkage to the Summer Precipitation in China

[摘要] Solar activity is one of the main external forcing factors driving the Earth’s climate system to change. The snow cover over the Tibetan Plateau is an important physical factor affecting the East Asian climate. At present, insufficient research on the connection between solar activity and snow cover over the Tibetan Plateau has been carried out. Using Solar Radio Flux (SRF), Solar Sunspot Number (SSN), and Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) data, this paper calculated the correlation coefficients with snow indices over the Tibetan Plateau, such as winter and spring snow depth (WSD/SSD) and snow day number (WSDN/SSDN). These snow indices are obtained from the daily gauge snow data in the Tibetan Plateau. Through correlation analyses, it is found that there are significant synchronous or lag correlations between snow indices and solar parameters on multi-time scales. In particular, the Spring Snow Day Number (SSDN) is of significant synchronous or lag correlation with SRF, SSN, and TSI on multi-time scales. It is further found that SSDN over the Tibetan Plateau has more stable positive correlations with SRF by using the 21-year running mean and cross spectrum analyses. Therefore, SSDN can be ascertained to be the most sensitive snow index to the solar activity compared with other snow indices. Moreover, its influence on summer precipitation of China is strongly regulated by solar activity. In high solar activity years (HSAY), the significant correlated area of summer precipitation in China to SSDN is located further north than that in low solar activity years (LSAY). Such impact by solar activity is also remarkable after excluding the impact of ENSO (i.e., El Niño–Southern Oscillation) events. These results provide support for the application of snow indices in summer rainfall prediction in China.

[发布日期] 2022-01-05

[关键词] solar activity;snow cover over the Tibetan plateau;summer precipitation of China;correlation analyses;East Asian monsoon