Learning to live with cognitive bias

[摘要] BIAS You are probably familiar with the idea of cognitive bias: a trick of the mind that stops you seeing what’s in front of you or thinking clearly, something that’s a recognised cause of diagnostic error.There is a whole menagerie of biases with mundane or more exotic names such as base-rate neglect, the gambler’s fallacy, and the Pollyanna principle,1,2 and wandering through this psychological zoo for any length of time may make us question how much we ever get right. Of course, if you’re prone to exceptionalism, you might just smile and shake your head at how easily other people get in a muddle.

[学科分类] 卫生学