Methodological Issues in the Study of Airplane Accident Rates by Pilot Age: Effects of Accident and Pilot Inclusion Criteria and Analytic Strategy

[摘要] At the direction of the U.S. Senate, Broach, Schroeder, and Joseph (2000a, b) examined accident rates by age for professional air transport and commercial pilots using an analysis of variance (ANOVA) approach. As an extension of that work, this report focuses on methodological issues requiring careful consideration and definition in any analysis of aviation accident rates by pilot age. Three methodological issues are considered: (a) accident inclusion criteria; (b) pilot inclusion criteria; and (c) analytic strategy. Previous studies are interpreted with respect to these issues, and an additional analysis is presented to illustrate the impact of methodological choices on study outcomes.

[发布机构] FAA Office of Aerospace Medicine - Civil Aerospace Medical Institute

[关键词] Pilot Age;Aviation Accidents;Accident Rates;Age 60 Rule;Mandatory Pilot Retirement