Load Forecasting of Central Urban Area Power Grid Based on Saturated Load Density Index

[摘要] In the current society, coordination between urban power grid development and city development has become more and more prominent. Electricity saturated load forecasting plays an important role in the planning and development of power grids. Electricity saturated load forecasting is a new concept put forward by China in recent years in the field of grid planning. Urban saturation load forecast is different from the traditional load forecasting method for specific years, the time span of it often relatively large, and involves a wide range of aspects. This study takes a county in eastern Jiangxi as an example, this paper chooses a variety of load forecasting methods to carry on the recent load forecasting calculation to central urban area. At the same time, this paper uses load density index method to predict the Longterm load forecasting of electric saturation load of central urban area lasted until 2030. And further study shows the general distribution of the urban saturation load in space.

[发布机构] Information Engineering Institute, Nanchang University, Xinjian County, Nanchang, China^1

[效力级别] 无线电电子学

[关键词] City development;Electric saturation;Grid planning;Load forecast;Load forecasting;Long-term load forecasting;Planning and development;Urban power grids