Malaria transmission model for different levels of acquired immunity and temperature-dependent parameters (vector)

[摘要] OBJECTIVE: Describe the overall transmission of malaria through a compartmental model, considering the human host and mosquito vector. METHODS: A mathematical model was developed based on the following parameters: human host immunity, assuming the existence of acquired immunity and immunological memory, which boosts the protective response upon reinfection; mosquito vector, taking into account that the average period of development from egg to adult mosquito and the extrinsic incubation period of parasites (transformation of infected but non-infectious mosquitoes into infectious mosquitoes) are dependent on the ambient temperature. RESULTS: The steady state equilibrium values obtained with the model allowed the calculation of the basic reproduction ratio in terms of the model's parameters. CONCLUSIONS: The model allowed the calculation of the basic reproduction ratio, one of the most important epidemiological variables.

[关键词] Malaria transmission;Epidemiologic models;Anopheles;Plasmodium;Host parasitic relations;Insect vectors;Malária;Modelos epidemiológicos;Anopheles;Plasmodium;Relações hospedeiro-parasita;Insetos vetores