Road safety analysis on Srondol _ Jatingaleh highway, using Crash Modification Factors (CMFs) Case study: Semarang City, Central Java, Indonesia

[摘要] Problem: Toll Roads Section B (Srondol - Jatingaleh) Semarang have facilities and road traffic safety management has been installed, but the number of accidents in 2011 to 2015 still around 16% to 25%. The Road hazard caused by facilities and road safety management such as various issues can be the factors that cause accidents and become a black spot areas. Method: This reseach finds some factors that influence the safety function performance. Safety analysis with CMFs method which uses an analysis by HSM and give some solutions to improve the safety performance of highway. Data were collected by observation for primary data and literature studied for secondary data and It were analyzed with method using Crash Modification Factors (CMFs), Empirical Bayes (EB), and Negative Binomial Regression. The results of the analysis showed the factors that influence the amount of accident is happened and predictive modeling accident toll roads Srondol - Jatingaleh. Accident prediction modeling calibration with data on the number of accidents is 0.1, which means the method CMFs and EB can be used to analysis and predict the accidents on Srondol - Jatingaleh highway.

[发布机构] Road Safety Transportasion Polytechnic, St.Semeru, Tegal Regency; ID-TGL 52125, Indonesia^1;Road Safety Transportasion Polytechnic, St.Diponegoro, Jombang Regency; ID-JBG 61452, Indonesia^2

[效力级别] 经济学

[关键词] amenitive;and highwsay safety manual;CMF method;Negative binomial regression;SPFS