Success probability of oil production on KhMAD-Yugra oil fields

[摘要] Oil in KhMAD-Yugra fields has been produced for more than five decades. More than 470 fields of hydrocarbon raw materials have been discovered on the territory (more than 240 - have been developed). Flow charts of oil and liquid production, water injection, rate of withdrawals of initially extracted reserves and water cut have been constructed for all discovered fields. These diagrams have been used for the definition of the development stage on considered fields and the distribution of current recoverable reserves by these stages. It has allowed defining the structure of reserves alternatively. First, it became known what amount of residual reserves is attributable to the share of fields of the first, second, third and the fourth stage of development that indirectly indicates, for example, the growth potential of fields of the first stage or decrease potential of the third stage fields. Secondly, authors determined the distribution of annual production by the fields being at different stages of development that indirectly indicates the possible decrease or growth of the general dynamics of oil production in the future. In general the carried-out analysis has allowed predicting further dynamics of oil production in KhMAD-Yugra.

[发布机构] Industrial University of Tyumen, Volodarskogo Street, 38, Tyumen; 625000, Russia^1

[效力级别] 电工学

[关键词] Annual production;Development stages;Different stages;General dynamics;Growth potential;Recoverable reserves;Residual reserves;Success probabilities