Simulation analysis of short-term electric energy policy in electric vehicle field

[摘要] As an important field of electric power substitution process, it is of great significance to study the influence of electric power substitution policy on electric vehicle sales and electric power substitution. This paper establishes an electric power substitution time series intervening analysis model to simulate the sales data of new energy vehicles, and quantitatively analyzes the impact of short-term policies on electric vehicle sales and electric energy substitution. In view of the change of short-term subsidy policy, the sensitivity analysis is carried out, and the influence of the subsidy policy on the sales of new energy vehicles and the substitution of electricity are obtained under different rates of subsidy.

[发布机构] State Key Laboratory for Alternate Electrical Power System with Renewable Energy Sources, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, China^1;State Grid Energy Research Institute Co. Ltd, Beijing, China^2;Inst. of Economic and Technological Research of National Grid Fujian Electric Power Company Limited, Fuzhou, China^3

[学科分类] 环境科学（综合）

[关键词] Analysis models;Electric energies;Electric energy policy;Electric power;Electric vehicle field;New energy vehicles;Policy simulation;Simulation analysis