A preliminary assessment of the hydrodynamics of the Touw River and Wilderness Lakes system with emphasis on the management of the estuary mouth

[摘要] ENGLISH ABSTRACT: The Touw River estuary and Wilderness coastal lakes is a sensitive system from a flooding and ecological viewpoint and, therefore, careful consideration is placed on the hydrodynamics and salinity levels within the system. The estuary consists of a 'temporary open/closed estuary, where during closed mouth conditions, the sand bar at the estuary mouth is artificially managed in an attempt to reduce flood water levels in the system. The reason behind this management strategy is the construction of residential property along the flood plains of the estuary and coastal lakes, which in the past, had been exposed to regular cycles of inundation during flood events. In an attempt to reduce flood water levels in all water bodies and hence reduce the risk of inundation, a management policy was formulated. The past and present management plan is to maintain the sand bar at Touw estuary mouth, during closed mouth conditions, at an elevation of between +2.1m to +2.4m MSL, based on proposals made by the CSIR in 1981.Recent flood events, after the implementation of the management policy, still occasionally result in significant inundation of residential property, which has raised concern for some interested parties over the effectiveness of the management strategy. Furthermore, a growing concern was also evident over the long term wellbeing of the system from an ecological viewpoint. Historical data shows significant changes in salinity levels since the implementation of the management strategy which could impose negative long term effects on the system.In this study, numerical models were consequently constructed and applied in order to analyse the effectiveness of the current management policy and recalculate flood water levels under a number of proposed scenarios. Long term salinity changes were also analysed in an attempt to better understand salinity propagation throughout the system, using extreme hypothetical cases.Through the analysis of the simulation results, it was concluded that flood water levels in the Touw estuary were almost completely dependent on the size of the Touw River flood and the initial height of the sand bar at the estuary mouth. Whereas, water levels in the coastal lakes are almost entirely dependent on the quantity of runoff into the lakes and their initial water levels. The current management plan, involving only artificial manipulation of the sand bar at the estuary mouth, therefore has a fairly insignificant effect on flood water levels achieved in the coastal lakes. Furthermore, it was concluded that the construction of the preparatory channel is a vitally important aspect of the current management plan and that skimming of the sand bar alone is ineffective to completely mitigate the risk of residential inundation along the banks of the Touw River.The salinity modelling study provided a first indication of the salinity characteristics within the system. It was found that the penetration of seawater into the system was less prominent as the water bodies became further removed from the ocean and that a direct relationship was evident between the volume of direct freshwater inflow to a water body and the degree of salinity variation in that specific water body. In water bodies with high volumes of direct freshwater inflow such as the Touw estuary, a large degree of salinity variation is evident. However, in water bodies with no freshwater inflow, such as Rondevlei, salinity levels remain more stable and are less likely to fluctuate.

[发布机构] Stellenbosch University