Applying risk informed methodologies to improve the economics of sodium-cooled fast reactors

[摘要] (cont.) This methodology was applied in a series of case studies demonstrating the value of the approach in design. The probabilistic risk assessment, the reference economic model and the Technology Neutral Framework tools required for this methodology are described. A reference economic model for a pool-type SFR was developed using the G4-ECONS model since it is an acceptable standard model for economic analysis. Since cost predictions for sodium cooled fast reactors are highly uncertain, the results of the economic analysis are used to estimate the relative improvement in cost as a function of the design alternatives proposed by the TNF methodology approach. This study used generic and comparative numbers for the ALMR and SPRISM reactors for cost of components of the SFR, to identify capital cost drivers for further study and cost reduction. For comparative purposes, the light water reactor (LWR) economic model in the G4-ECONS model was used and benchmarked to current LWR data. As a result of the case studies in which the methodology was applied, it was shown that the capital cost of the SFR could be reduced by almost 18% ($336 million) over the reference design and the levelized generating costs could be reduced by over 10% (almost 1 cent/kw-hr). These savings come largely from improvements in thermal efficiency, elimination of the energetic core disruptive accident as a design basis event and simplification of the reactor shutdown system based on risk analysis and safety significance. Should this methodology be applied to the entire plant design, it is expected that significant additional savings could be identified.

[发布机构] Massachusetts Institute of Technology