Growth and Job Creation in Uzbekistan : A In-depth Diagnostic

[摘要] This report stems from the workinitiated in the Systematic Country Diagnostic (SCD)forUzbekistan in May 2016, which identified the quality ofjob creation as a central, cross-cuttingtheme. The SCDemphasized that "over the medium term, creatinghigh-productivity, high-paying jobs for Uzbekistan'sgrowing population will be vital to sustaining economicgrowth, reinforcing social stability, and enabling furtherimprovements in the welfare of households in the bottom 40percent of the income distribution. Uzbekistan can expect todevelop higher-paying jobs as it transitions from afactor-driven economy to an efficiency-driven economy."However, given data constraints, the SCD cited the need fora more detailed analysis and assessment of variousdimensions of economic data, based on additional data. Thisreport builds on the SCD and represents a further step in anongoing strategic and analytical engagement with Uzbekistan.In this context, the report deepens the analysis of the twokey factors contributing to growth in GDP per capita inUzbekistan: growth in labor productivity and growth inemployment. This new analysis was possible by applying thegrowth decomposition tool to new data disaggregated bysectors of the economy and new data on constraints toproductivity and employment growth generated by the threeenterprise surveys conducted for this report. These surveyswere carried out in 2013 and 2017 in five subsectors ofUzbekistan's manufacturing sector (machinery building,chemicals and petrochemicals, light industry, foodprocessing, and construction materials). The samequestionnaire was used to survey 122 large firms in 2013,111 large firms in 2017, and 478 small firms in 2017 acrosssix regions of Uzbekistan. The survey data allowed a moresystematic diagnostic analysis of Uzbekistan's growthchallenges and the identification of the most bindingconstraints to jobs and productivity, which will help ensuremore tailored and relevant policy advice.

[发布日期] 2018-12-28 [发布机构] World Bank, Washington, DC

[学科分类] 社会科学、人文和艺术（综合）

[关键词] GROWTH DECOMPOSITION;ECONOMIC GROWTH;LABOR PRODUCTIVITY;CAPITAL PRODUCTIVITY;LABOR-INTENSIVE MANUFACTURING